УПОТРЕБА ВЕШТАЧКИХ НЕУРАЛНИХ МРЕЖА ЗА ПРОГНОЗУ ПОТРОШЊЕ И ПРОИЗВОДЊЕ ЕЛЕКТРИЧНЕ ЕНЕРГИЈЕ

37. саветовање CIGRE Србија (2025) СИГУРНОСТ, СТАБИЛНОСТ, ПОУЗДАНОСТ И RESILIENCE ЕЛЕКТРОЕНЕРГЕТСКОГ СИСТЕМА МУЛТИСЕКТОРСКО ПОВЕЗИВАЊЕ У ЕНЕРГЕТИЦИ И ПРИВРЕДИ – D2-03

АУТОР(И) / AUTHOR(S): Немања Војновић, Милета Жарковић

 

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DOI:  10.46793/CIGRE37.D2.03

САЖЕТАК / ABSTRACT:

Forecasting electricity consumption and production is a key challenge in power systems, especially with the increasing reliance on renewable energy sources. Traditional forecasting methods are often not sufficiently accurate due to the complexity and variability of energy flows, necessitating the application of advanced artificial intelligence (AI) techniques. This paper explores the potential use of AI, particularly artificial neural networks, to improve the accuracy of electricity consumption and production forecasts. Through the analysis of different models and neural network architectures, parameter optimization was performed to determine the most efficient configuration for forecasting based on temporal and energy data. The proposed approach was implemented in the Python programming language using libraries such as TensorFlow and Scikit-learn. Model evaluation demonstrated significant improvements in forecast accuracy compared to classical methods such as linear regression and support vector machines. In addition to theoretical analysis, the paper includes an experimental evaluation of the developed models through data processing from real power systems. The research results contribute to better production planning, network operation optimization, and increased integration of renewable energy sources into the power system.

КЉУЧНЕ РЕЧИ / KEYWORDS:

neural networks, consumption forecasting, power system, Python, artificial intelligence

ПРОЈЕКАТ / ACKNOWLEDGEMENT:

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