АУТОР / AUTHOR(S): Goran Trbić 
DOI: 10.46793/CSGE5.08GT
САЖЕТАК / ABSTRACT:
Climate changes are the drivers of the biggest risks and disasters in Bosnia and Herzegovina in the past two decades. The paper will present climate trends for key climate elements and indices for the period 1961–2023 and their impact on the sectors most vulnerable to climate change. Research indicates that the temperature rise in the largest urban centers has exceeded the threshold of 2oC, and that the rainfall regime has changed to a large extent. Clear trends of increasing dry days (without precipitation) as well as days with intense precipitation can be observed on an annual basis. Such trends are triggers for the occurrence of extreme droughts and floods during the same years. The sectors most threatened by climate change in Bosnia and Herzegovina are: agriculture, water management, forestry, human health, tourism, and biodiversity, while the greatest risks are from floods, droughts, forest fires, and stormy winds. Climatic models and projections until the end of the 21st century indicate a rapid increase in air temperature, a major change in the precipitation regime with an increase in intense precipitation, which conditions fluvial, urban, and torrential floods, but also the number of days without precipitation that affect the occurrence of droughts and forest fires. The paper will present the results of climate projections in Bosnia and Herzegovina, and accordingly indicate the possible directions of adaptation to climate change and the need to integrate them into planning and strategic documents as well as development policies.
КЉУЧНЕ РЕЧИ / KEYWORDS:
climate change; climate trends and risks; Republika Srpska; Bosnia and Herzegovina