VI international scientific conference Sustainable agriculture and rural development, 11-12. 12. 2025, Belgrade [pp. 11-24]
AUTHOR(S) / AUTOR(I): Danijela Kondić
, Miroslav Nedeljković
, Bojan Kresojević
, Gvozden Mićić 
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.46793/zbIEP25.011K
ABSTRACT / SAŽETAK:
Bosnia and Herzegovina (BIH) continues to exhibit a pronounced import orientation of maize and wheat. Despite possessing considerable agricultural potential, the country’s domestic production is insuficient to meet national requirements, necessitating dependence on cereal imports. This study aims to examine the import and export dynamics of maize and wheat (soft and durum), including both mercantile and seed categories, in BIH over the period 2014–2023. The data were obtained from Trade Map and the FAOSTAT database. In the analysis of import and export data for mercantile and seed maize and wheat, linear regression equations with associated coeficients were used. The research seeks to identify long-term trends, quantify annual fluctuations, and assess the structural balance between domestic production and foreign trade. Overall, the analyses of maize and wheat trade in Bosnia and Herzegovina consistently indicate a strong structural dependence on imports to meet domestic demand, while exports play a marginal role across all examined cereal categories.
KEYWORDS / KLJUČNE REČI:
Cereals, domestic production, export, import, trade balance, long-term trends.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT / PROJEKAT:
Research was funded by the Ministry of Science, Technological Development and Innovation of the Republic of Serbia, grant no. 451-03-136/2025-03/200009 from 4th February 2025
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