Elektrane (2025) [pp. 82-92]
AUTHOR(S) / AUTOR(I): V. Stevanović, S. Milivojević, M.M. Petrović and M. Lazarević
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DOI: https://doi.org//10.46793/EEP25.082S
ABSTRACT / SAŽETAK:
Nuclear power plants (NPPs), solar photovoltaics (PVs) and wind power plants (WPs) are commercial technologies, which with available hydroelectric power plants provide decarbonized electricity generation. In addition, the application of small modular reactors (SMRs) emerges, which contributes to the technological and economical diversification and completness of the nuclear energy utilization. A comparative techno-economic analysis of the deployment of large scale NPP, SMRs, as well as PVs and WPs plants was performed, whereas it is assumed that the natural resources for the new hydro plants are mainly exhausted. The construction of one 1200 MW NPP or the construction of four identical SMRs with a unit capacity of 300 MW is considered. The same amount of electricity of 9.6 TWh could be generated with a total PVs power of 3033 MW and WPs with 1706 MW, with respective load factors of 18% and 32% for the area of Serbia. Since the production of solar and wind energy is time-dependent, a mature and economically most acceptable construction of a pumped hydropower energy storage (PHES) plant with a capacity of 620 GWh is considered for the electricity accumulation. The analysis is based on the current investment costs, nuclear fuel costs, operation, maintenance and decommissioning costs, construction time and service life. The obtained results show that for a period of operation of 60 years, SMRs provide the highest Net Present Value (NPV), while the lowest value is obtained for the project that includes PVs and WPs with PHES. At a favorable discount rate of 3%, but the lowest electricity price of 80 MWh/$, the pay-back period is 35 and 40 years, respectively, for SMRs and large scale NPP, while at the same discount rate and price of 120 MWh/$, the pay-back period of these nuclear power plants is shortened to 20 and 23 years, respectively. At a discount rate of 8%, the NPV is negative both for nuclear power plants and PVs and WPs with PHES. The levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) is the lowest for SMRs. The LCOE ranges from 67 $/MWh for SMRs and NPP 1200 MW at the discount rate of 3%, and up to 135 $/MWh for the NPP 1200 MW and PVs and WPs with storage at the discount rate of 8%.
KEYWORDS / KLJUČNE REČI:
nuclear power plants; renewables, pumped-hydro storage, techno-economic analysis.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT / PROJEKAT:
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