37. саветовање CIGRE Србија (2025) СИГУРНОСТ, СТАБИЛНОСТ, ПОУЗДАНОСТ И RESILIENCE ЕЛЕКТРОЕНЕРГЕТСКОГ СИСТЕМА МУЛТИСЕКТОРСКО ПОВЕЗИВАЊЕ У ЕНЕРГЕТИЦИ И ПРИВРЕДИ – C2-07
АУТОР(И) / AUTHOR(S): Ivana Stamenić, Srđan Mladenović, Marija Đorđević, Ana Bukara, Miroslav Vilček
DOI: 10.46793/CIGRE37.C2.07
САЖЕТАК / ABSTRACT:
Although the share of renewable energy production (RES) at the distribution level in Serbia is currently relatively low, it is expected that its importance will grow in the future. Accurate forecasting of RES production at the DSO level is becoming crucial not only for analysis and operational planning of the transmission system but also for its control, as it can impact power flows, voltage profiles, transmission capacity calculations, and the overall reliability of the electricity system.
This paper analyzes how deviations in the forecasts of RES production at the distribution level can affect the operational planning processes in the transmission system and, consequently, decision-making in real-time. Although the current impacts are not significant, timely preparation through improved forecasting methodologies and better coordination between DSOs and TSOs can contribute to more accurate analyses, more optimal use of network capacities, and more reliable operation of the electricity system. Through the analysis of possible scenarios, the paper highlights the need for improving data exchange and the development of forecasts to enable better operational planning. In this way, the impact of distributed RES production can be timely recognized and adequately taken into account, thereby improving transmission system control as the integration of renewable energy sources at lower voltage levels increases.
КЉУЧНЕ РЕЧИ / KEYWORDS:
OIE, TSO, DSO, production forecast
ПРОЈЕКАТ / ACKNOWLEDGEMENT:
ЛИТЕРАТУРА / REFERENCES:
- Methodology for coordinating operational security analysis (CSAM) in accordance with Article 75 of Commission Regulation (EU) 2017/1485 of 2 August 2017 establishing a guideline on electricity transmission system operation
- Capacity Allocation and Congestion Management (CACM) regulation
- R2D2 Project & CROSSBOW Project
- SmartNet Project (H2020). Coordination schemes between TSO and DSO for the integration of distributed resources.