Definisanje optimalnog proizvodnog miksa u dekarbonizovanom energetskom sistemu / Definition of the Optimal Generation Mix in Decarbonized Power System

Energija, ekonomija, ekologija, 1, XXIV, 2022, (str. 22-27)

АУТОР(И): Vladan Ristić, Miljan Žikić, Dragana Vujanović, Ivan Trkulja, Ognjen Mijušković

Е-АДРЕСА: vladagenius.vr@gmail.com

Download Full Pdf   

DOI: 10.46793/EEE22-1.22R

САЖЕТАК:

Značajan napredak u ekološkoj svesti široke javnosti u prethodnoj deceniji je doveo do promene načina na koji se sagledava perspektiva elektroenergetskih sistema, pri čemu je najveća prilagođavanja pretrpeo sektor proizvodnje energije, u kome su ulogu koju su držale termoelektrane preuzeli obnovljivi izvori energije. Tu se, prevashodno, ističu solarne elektrane i vetroelektrane. Međutim, ovaj zaokret je dočekan sa velikom dozom skepticizma, gde je, kao argument protiv masovne integracije obnovljivih izvora, često naglašavana varijabilnost njihove snage generisanja, te oscilacije prisutne u njihovom dnevnom dijagramu proizvodnje. Ono što je, pak, zanemarivano u tim izlaganjima jeste činjenica da dnevni dijagram proizvodnje zavisi od tipa izvora, te da, na primer, vetroelektrane i solarne elektrane nemaju identičan dnevni dijagram. Prema tome, do dnevnih maksimuma i minimuma prozvodnje ovih izvora ne dolazi u istom trenutku, te je jasno da bi objedinjeni dijagram na kome bi se u obzir uzela oba tipa elektrana imao daleko manje varijacija snage od pojedinačnih grafika proizvodnje svake od elektrana. Pritom bi stepen smanjenja varijacija, između ostalog, zavisio i od odnosa instalisanih snaga ovih elektrana. Shodno tome, u radu će se sprovesti analiza na test sistemu koji se napaja isključivo iz vetroelektrana i solarnih elektrana, uz uzimanje u obzir dva tipa solarnih panela – monofacijalnih i bifacijalnih. Smatraće se da je zbir instalisanih snaga ovih izvora konstantan, dok će procenat sa kojim svaka od elektrana učestvuje u toj snazi biti variran sa ciljem definisanja onog odnosa instalisanih snaga pri kome dolazi do najmanjih varijacija zbirne snage proizvodnje u periodu od godinu dana, sa satnom rezolucijom. Kao indikator smanjenja varijacija će se koristiti minimalna srednja vrednost kvadrata odstupanja satnih vrednosti ukupne snage generisanja iz opisanih elektrana od prosečne vrednosti snage njihove sumirane proizvodnje na godišnjem nivou.

КЉУЧНЕ РЕЧИ:

Balansiranje sistema, Vetroelektrane, Solarne elektrane, Bifacijalni paneli, Statistička analiza

ЛИТЕРАТУРА:

  • Tajne, P. The Dark Side of Renewable Energy: Negative Impacts of Renewables on the Environment, Alternative Energy Magazine, 2015. Dostupno na: https://www.altenergymag.com/article/2015/08/the-dark-side-of-renewable-energy-negative-impacts-of-renewables-on-the-environment/20963/ [pristupljeno 17.03.2021].
  • Li M., Yang, M., Yu, Y., Li, P., Si, Z., Yang, J. Wind Power Probabilistic Forecasting Based on Wind Correction Using Weather Research and Forecasting Model, in Proc. 2020 IEEE 3rd Student Conference on Electrical Machines and Systems (SCEMS), Jinan, China, pp. 619-624, 4-6. December 2020.
    https://doi.org/1109/SCEMS48876.2020.9352362
  • Zhong, Y.-J., Wu, Y.-K. Short-Term Solar Power Forecasts Considering Various Weather Variables, in Proc. 2020 International Symposium on Computer, Consumer and Control (IS3C), Taichung City, Taiwan, pp. 432-435, 13-16. November 2020.
    https://doi.org/1109/IS3C50286.2020.00117
  • Prema, V., Bhaskar, M.S., Almakhles, D., Gowtham, N., Rao, K.U. Critical Review of Data, Models and Performance Metrics for Wind and Solar Power Forecast, IEEE Access, Vol. 10, pp. 667-688, 2022.
    https://doi.org/1109/ACCESS.2021.3137419
  • Ginsberg, M., Goeta, S., Fthenakis, V. Grid Flexibility and the Cost of Integrating Variable Renewable Energy: Toward a Renewable Energy Integration Adder for San Diego Gas and Electric Service Territory and the California Electric Grid, in Proc. 2018 IEEE 7th World Conference on Photovoltaic Energy Conversion (WCPEC), Waikoloa, HI, USA, pp. 1402-1405, 10-15. June 2018.
    https://doi.org/1109/PVSC.2018.8547842
  • Pedersen, T.T., Victoria, M., Rasmussen, M.G., Andersen, G.B. Exploring flexibility of near-optimal solutions to highly renewable energy systems, in Proc. 2021 IEEE 48th Photovoltaic Specialists Conference (PVSC), Fort Lauderdale, FL, USA, pp. 387-391, 20-25. June 2021.
    https://doi.org/1109/PVSC43889.2021.9518745
  • Wu, Y., Li, Y., Wu, Y. Overview of power system flexibility in a high penetration of renewable energy system, in Proc. 2018 IEEE International Conference on Applied System Invention (ICASI), Chiba, Japan, pp. 1137-1140, 13-17. April 2018.
    https://doi.org/1109/ICASI.2018.8394484
  • Xing, T., Caijuan, Q., Liang, Z., Pengjiang, G., Jianfeng, G., Panlong, J. A comprehensive flexibility optimization strategy on power system with high-percentage renewable energy, in Proc. 2017 2nd International Conference on Power and Renewable Energy (ICPRE), Chengdu, China, pp. 553-558, 20-23. September 2017.
    https://doi.org/10.1109/ICPRE.2017.8390596
  • Byers, C., Botterud, A. Additional Capacity Value From Synergy of Variable Renewable Energy and Energy Storage, IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy, Vol. 11, No. 2, pp. 1106-1109, 2020.
    https://doi.org/1109/TSTE.2019.2940421
  • Wang, Z. et al. Research on the active power coordination control system for wind/photovoltaic/energy storage, in Proc. 2017 IEEE Conference on Energy Internet and Energy System Integration (EI2), Beijing, China, pp. 1-5, 26-28. November 2017.
    https://doi.org/1109/EI2.2017.8245403
  • Shi, Z., Wang, W., Huang, Y., Li, P., Dong, L. Simultaneous optimization of renewable energy and energy storage capacity with the hierarchical control, CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems, Vol. 8, No. 1, pp. 95-104, 2022.
    https://doi.org/17775/CSEEJPES.2019.01470
  • Vuc, G., Borlea, I., Barbulescu, C., Prostean, O., Jigoria-Oprea, D., Neaga, L. Optimal energy mix for a grid connected hybrid wind — Photovoltaic generation system, in Proc. 2011 IEEE 3rd International Symposium on Exploitation of Renewable Energy Sources (EXPRES), Subotica, Serbia, pp. 129-132, 11-12. March 2011.
    https://doi.org/1109/EXPRES.2011.5741806
  • Nassar, M.E., Salama, M.M.A. Optimal sizing of wind/solar mix for supply security of active power distribution systems, in Proc. 2016 IEEE Canadian Conference on Electrical and Computer Engineering (CCECE), Vancouver, BC, Canada, pp. 1-4, 15-18. May 2016.
    https://doi.org/1109/CCECE.2016.7726803
  • Waiwong, S., Damrongkulkamjorn, P. Optimal sizing for stand alone power generating system with wind-PV-hydro storage by mixed-integer linear programming, in Proc. 2016 IEEE International Conference on Renewable Energy Research and Applications (ICRERA), Birmingham, UK, pp. 437-441, 20-23 November 2016. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRERA.2016.7884375